Monday, September 07, 2009

What are we watching tomorrow?

As we were anticipating yesterday, currencies were leaning to the bullish side, starting with a gap up on EURUSD. During the session they propelled stocks higher.
Here are some charts of two currencies who although not very popular, are playing an important role since they are supporting 2009 rally very clearly ( see weekly chart on the left and compare with SPX). IMO they have reached a ST extreme together with their corresponding year high and year low. That is why I will be watching them closely tomorrow for more clues on the potential exhaustion of this rally. I believe they are going to bounce off today's levels. This should be coupled with lower prices at EURUSD and EURJPY and ultimately support a retracement at stock markets.

AUD/USD
Edit: 2:02 am EST Shorted AUD/USD 0.8565 - stop around 0.8580
stopped at 0.8580

re entered at 0.8623 - stop 0.8640
1st target hit at 0.8606 - shifted stops at BEP -5

stopped for remaining 50% at 0.8628




EUR/NZD
long 2.0709 stop 2.0662
1st target hit at 2.0774 - stops moved at BEP-10
2nd target hit at 2.0834 - then flat for a nice profit :)




Flying to safety continues despite of the rally in stocks. Simultaneous rallys at Gold and Bonds are dificult to interprete in a different way.

Also have a look at German Schatz future , my reference today,